Friday, October 11, 2013
Social Security Can Be Paid During a Default, But the Decision Will Be Political
President Barack Obama warned last week that Social Security benefits might not go out "ontime" if Congress does not raise the debt ceiling. Cooler heads in Washington disagreed with the President, saying that seniors and disabled Americans receiving disability payments through Social Security should not be worried about their benefits if the US government runs out of borrowing capacity later this month. Is there an answer to this question? The answer is that Social Security recipients should worry ONLY if the Obama administration insists on making Social Security a pawn in the debt ceiling battle, which would be a political ploy unworthy of an American President. Social Security is a stand-alone program with its own dedicated revenue stream that works as follows : workers and employers pay a combined 12.4% of employees' payroll. It was designed to be a "pay as you go" program, with taxes on today's workers funding current payouts to already retired and disabled workers and their dependents. Social Security funds can't be used for anything except Social Security benefits. Social Security currently has a surplus of $2.7 trillion. This year it is on track to take in $38.8 billion more in revenue than it will pay out, according to the forecast of the program's trustees. These funds sit in the Social Security Trust Fund (SSTF). While SSTF funds can be used only for Social Security, the fund operates in a way that could leave it vulnerable in the event of a government default. Every dollar of Social Security payroll tax revenue received by the US Treasury is used to fund general non-Social Security operations. The Treasury then issues special interest-bearing Treasury bonds to the SSTF matching the amount of payroll taxes it has received and spent. So, to fund benefit payments every month, the Social Security Administration redeems bonds from the SSTF with the shortest maturity, receiving principal plus interest. The government finances Social Security redemptions by issuing new general-issue Treasury bonds. This funding system is the basic objection of critiques of Social Security - that it's a Ponzi scheme that has no real assets. This is not true. The reality is that the SSTF actually is one of the largest creditors of the US Treasury - right up there with China and Japan, which together hold $2.4 trillion in Treasury debt. The system was designed this way to ensure that Social Security would be invested only in the world's safest instrument: paper issued by the US Treasury. The special-issue Treasury notes are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government, and the system works well when the Treasury has the power to issue debt to fund Social Security's bond redemptions. Even if the government hits the debt ceiling, there's a viable option for keeping Social Security benefits flowing without affecting the federal debt situation. The Social Security trustees could exercise their right to cash in as many Social Security bonds as they need to make benefit payments for the foreseeable future. Every dollar of principal (but not interest) that the federal government pays back to Social Security would reduce the government's total indebtedness, making room for the Treasury to borrow more from the general public to fund Social Security redemptions. The total amount of federal debt would not change, and the redemptions wouldn't reduce funds available for other government operations. BUT, Social Security's managing trustee is the US Treasury Secretary, now Jacob Lew, so he actually has conflicting obligations - to serve the President and to protect the rights of Social Security beneficiaries. The same conflict of interest exists for the three other top government officials who serve as trustees - the secretaries of Health and Human Services and the Labor Department and the commissioner of the Social Security Administration. ~~~~~ Dear readers, frightening seniors and disabled people might seem to be a good political tactic, considering the huge stakes in the debt ceiling battle. But that doesn't make it right. Last year, 56.7 million retired and disabled workers, spouses or children received Social Security retirement or disability benefits. Many depend on the benefits to buy food and pay for rent and utilities. One-third of today's seniors rely on Social Security for 90% or more of their income according to the National Academy of Social Insurance. Two-thirds count on it for more than half their income. Nancy Altman, co-director of the Strengthen Social Security advocacy coalition and an expert on Social Security law and history, argues that Lew and Obama have a duty to keep Social Security out of the fight : "Social Security is different from paying a military contractor, or food inspectors," Altman says. "Those things are paid from the general fund, where there's a deficit. Social Security is a real pension program backed by very substantial assets, and the President has an obligation to act as a fiduciary and protect that." While it is beginning to look like the President and Congress will find a way to avert a default, at least temporarily, if the negotiations fail, all Social Security recipients should begin to contact the President, their Congressperson and Senator, as well as Treasury Secretary Lew, to demand that Social Security be treated as intended and kept out of Washington political battles.
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I hope you're right.
ReplyDeleteWhat a wonderful explanation of how SS (etc.) is funded and remains solvent through out the years. Thank you.
ReplyDeleteI can not imagine the Obama would give the republicans such ammunition against the democrats by NOT paying SS and SSDI on time. Is he at all that stupid.
For everyone out there that depends on their checks my thoughts and prayers are with each and everyone of you.
Politically I am very anti entitlements ... but SS and the various disability/retirement programs ARE NOT entitlements. They are earned rewards for a productive, engaged life in making the USA the great nation it is.
Isn't all the decisions about Social Security and associated programs always "political".
ReplyDeleteMy comment to this fine explanation of Social Security may not seem to fit. But keep in mind that what problems exists for SS also are the same if not somewhat more escalated for SSDI (Disability Insurance).
ReplyDeleteThe National Debt problem, the Debit Ceiling situation, National Unemployment, Corporate massive reduction of full time employees, to part time employees, Confidence in both Houses of Congress at an all time low, Presidential confidence slippage, etc. etc.
To sum all these and many more major problems that are tugging at the strings of this countries statue, productivity, world confidence, our ability to be who we always have been into a single word ... C O N F I D E N C E.
The confidence of the citizens in their federal (and state & local) governments and all other elected officials has vanished.There is nothing left. We have been betrayed. There is very little confidence left because of Obama and his administration actions/inactions.
And the solution to this CONFIDENCE problem is simple. Not quick, but simple.
What is the word ... E L E C T I O N S.
We can change the mess we have been put, in a little with each election. We can get ride of those that we elected to represent us as regular as every year, with major, national changes every two years.
Starting with 2014 Mid term elections. Your Congressman or Senator isn't up to doing the job by your estimation - vote for someone else. Clean house. because those that are in Washington DC right now will not change.
So in 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020 nationally, and in the off years in local elections vote them out.
If we don't WE will be the losers
This morning it seems that one lone representative from the House has the knowledge and courage to put forth a very workable plan that address both the debt ceiling crisis, but also factors in required discussion on the overall fiscal problems we have in the budgetary arena.
ReplyDeletePaul Ryan, the former VP candidate with Mitt Romney 2 years ago will be putting forth a proposal that it seem right now has everyone initial agreement.
Since it is still unpublished we'll have to wait to see the dotted "I's" and crossed "T's". But I am positive it will address SS & SSDI problems either now or in the mandated collective bargaining.
But it will be a STRONG CONSERVATIVE approach to fiscal healing given Paul Ryan's past history.
The ACA is all about personal responsibility. It is your responsibility to purchase a product you don't need to support those who do. Yeah, that definitely is a progressive view of personal responsibility.
ReplyDeleteRyan has always been the source of reason and logic. Add to that financial wisdom and common sense and he is a pillar of stability much needed in this country now. I suspect he will evolve into a very likely candidate in 2016. Is there a Ryan/Rand ticket brewing ??? Would put stability into needed entitlements like Social Security
Just because our elected officials are all pure politicians at their core - is this any reason why some questions can not be settled on the human factor?
ReplyDeleteThere is NO QUESTION that Social Security and SSDI can be paid on time for years and years. Why does Obama and his band of merry Men all have to immediately scare our senior citizens over their political power grab schemes.
Decency gentlemen, decency please.
This entire discussion about whether we will be able or willp ay SS benefits to deserving senior citizens, SSDI payments to disabled citizens, our interest due on the National Debt, our brave servicemen and women the bi-monthly checks for service rendered, ect., etc. is all a RED FLAG for one thing and one thing only ...L E A D E R S H I P!
ReplyDeleteWe do not have it within the Obama/Progressive liberal Democratic party oligarchy.
Look at what a mess we have after 5 years of Obama's overspending , borrowing & increasing the debt by 15 digit numbers. His (Obama) unwillingness to pay people their retirement benefits that they paid for years ago.
If SS is to be broke (and it won't be as Casey Pops pointed out) due to the inability to borrow (debt ceiling) yet more trillions of dollars by October 17th ... then where is the once heralded "LOCK BOX" for Social Security funds ?
"I am tired of of being forced to follow greedy men who believe in nothing."
ReplyDeleteAnd right now with the war of words (not deeds) that is going on over the Debit Ceiling, who will and who won't get paid, and one or two men making the decision of the worthiness and viability of duly presented bills is to me the supreme act of greedy men doing nothing.
I came across this just a few minutes ago while I was reading and article about Obama on line.
ReplyDelete"The fact that we are here today to debate raising America's debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the US Government cannot pay its own bills. It is a sign that we now depend on ongoing financial assistance from foreign countries to finance our Government's reckless fiscal policies. Increasing America's debt weakens us domestically and internationally. Leadership means that, 'the buck stops here.' Instead, Washington is shifting the burden of bad choices today onto the backs of our children and grandchildren. America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership. Americans deserve better."
~ Senator Barack H. Obama, March 2006