Monday, July 1, 2013

The Military Joins Protesters to Take Egypt Back from the Moslem Brotherhood

The powerful Egyptian military warned on Monday it will intervene if Mohammed Morsi, the Islamist president supported by th Moslem Brotherhood, doesn't "meet the people's demands," giving him and his opponents two days to reach an agreement in what it called a last chance. Hundreds of thousands of protesters massed for a second day calling on Morsi to step down. Military helicopters, some waving Egyptian flags, flew over Cairo's Tahrir Square where many protesters broke into cheers with the army's announcement on state television. The army's statement encouraged the crowds moving into city squares around the country. In Cairo, the protests were peaceful, but deadly violence broke out in several parts of the country, often when marchers came under gunfire, apparently from Islamists, with at least 17 dead and more than 700 injured. The military said it would not take part in party politics or rule," but said it has a responsibility to act because Egypt's national security is facing a "grave danger," adding that the people's demands have to be met. The military is giving all sides 48 hours "as a last chance to shoulder the burden of the historic moment." So far, President Morsi has vowed he will remain in his position, but the opposition and crowds in the street - who numbered in the millions nationwide on Sunday - have made clear they will accept nothing less than his departure and a transition to early presidential elections. Military intervention risks creating a backlash from Morsi's Islamist supporters, who include hard-line former militants. Morsi met Monday with Egypt's military chief General Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi and Prime Minister Hesham Kandil, according to the president's Facebook page, without giving further details. Troops on Monday manned checkpoints on roads leading to a pro-Morsi rally of Islamists near his palace. They checked cars for weapons, after repeated reports that some Islamists were arming themselves. Morsi's backers have been infuriated by what they call an opposition move to forcibly overthrow Egypt's first president chosen in a democratic election. Some see the campaign as aimed at defeating the "Islamist project.". The pro-Morsi demonstration near the Ittihadiya palace was large, although it was eclipsed by the opposition rallies. Its participants blew whistles and waved banners with Morsi's picture. Monday's military statement was its second ultimatum. Earlier, el-Sissi gave the two sides a week to reach an agreement. That ultimatum expired on Sunday, with Morsi repeating his longstanding offer for dialogue, which the opposition rejected. Tamarod, the group organizing the opposition protests, issued its own ultimatum earlier on Monday, giving Morsi until Tuesday at 5 p.m. (1300 GMT) to step down or face an escalating campaign with larger marches and "complete civil disobedience." Since Sunday evening the Cairo Moslem Brotherhood headquarters has been under attack by protesters pelting it with stones. Brotherhood members barricaded inside opened fire on them in clashes that went on for hours and left eight dead. In the early hours Monday, protesters breached the walls of the six-story luxury villa and stormed inside. Footage on local TV networks showed smashed windows, blackened walls and smoke billowing out of the fortified villa in the Muqattam district in eastern Cairo. A fire was still raging on one floor hours after the building was stormed. One protester tore down the Muslim Brotherhood sign from the building's front wall, while another hoisted Egypt's red, black and white flag out an upper-story window and waved it in the air in triumph. Morsi's critics view the Brotherhood headquarters as the seat of real power in Egypt, claiming that the Islamist group's spiritual leader, Mohammed Badie and his powerful deputy, Khairat el-Shater, actually call the shots behind Morsi. Morsi and Brotherhood officials have denied this and say they have tried to give opponents a greater voice, only to be spurned. The military has for some time been giving subtle hints that it was not pleased with the policies pursued by Morsi and his Brotherhood. Morsi was clearly scolding el-Sissi when he said in a televised address last Wednesday that the armed forces should focus on improving its capabilities to protect the security and safety of the nation. ~~~~~ Dear readers, while Morsi has said he will not quit, later on Monday, the military essentially gave him an ultimatim, telling him to cooperate and share power or be removed. Events are moving fast in Egypt. News is coming at a rapidfire pace and changes often in detail. But, what seems clear is that the Egyptian military is taking back its power and promising new presidential elections. What is equally clear is that the military and the Egyptian people have had enough of the experiment with Moslem Brotherhood Islamist government. Egypt is critical to the order of the Middle East's Arab world. We should all be wishing the military and Egyptian citizens well and pray for their successful transition to real self-government.

6 comments:

  1. Concerned CitizenJuly 1, 2013 at 5:31 PM

    So the potential Civil War has taken a new turn ... the military standing up for the people against the outlaw government.

    As I understand the military has given both Morsi (& the Brotherhood) and the Freedom Fighters 48 hours to "shoulder this historic opportunity" and come together for the good of Egypt.

    And if this doesn't happen in 48 hours - WHAT THEN. Will the military act and take over the rule of government - a.k.a a COUP.

    Hypothesize for one second ... what if Morsi would present a deal to the military that on the surface looks as though Morsi would like the military to represent the people in the reorganization of Egypt's government.

    Politics in the Middle East really personifies the saying ... Politics make For Strange Bedfellows.

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  2. My opinion is the Egyptian Military is stronger than the Brotherhood...

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  3. I am going to try and describe the problematic outcome of this Egyptian situation using some rather simple probability math.
    Let’s assign letters (so I don’t have to type so much & and it looks more math like) to each of the players in this drama:
    A = Morsi
    B = Muslin Brotherhood
    C = Freedom Fighters
    D = Military
    So the winning outcome possibilities are:
    A + B
    A + C
    A + D
    B + C
    B + D
    C + D
    A alone … B alone … C alone … D alone

    So as we can all see as I am typing this there are 10, count them 10 possible outcomes for power in Egypt. And that is not adding in any outside potential influence.
    My point … this is going to be a mess for someone. I just hope it’s not for the Freedom Fighters. And maybe this simple display will emphasize the importance of Obama establishing with the military’s 48 hour grace the US desire in the outcome.

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    1. My above scenario leaves out a factor.

      One could deduce that A + B for example is not the same as B + A. I guess the difference would be who in the example would have the power.

      So add if you wish:
      B+A
      C+A
      C+B

      So now there is a possibility of 13 different outcomes with the level of authority/power base included

      The outcome is still the same in that this is one very convoluted outcome possibility that exists.

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  4. On the surface there is a great possibility that this "independent military" that is dictating to both sides could wake up in a few days and be a JUNTA.

    Lets remember is the same military that served the former president Mubarak, and now Morsi, and on Wednesday they threaten all sides that is a "can't we live all together" settlement is reached between Morsi and the Freedom Fighter - they (the military) will have to step in and run the show for a while.

    Isn't that just what the Middle East needs less of is military rulers? To date they haven't done all that well for the citizens.

    Name me 1 country where the advent of military rule has been a positive thing for the citizens, for the economy, or for the growth of the country.

    Political people run a country in accordance with the wishes of the people. Military fights wars and crime for the people. Military juntas do neither well or neither for the people.

    We need to do this right this time.

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  5. So President Obama has spoken through his staff. I wonder what the situation in the Middle East has to be for the man himself to step up to the microphone and say some firm and forceful words about what is going on in Syria, Egypt, Lebanon, Iran etc.

    And so our position seems to be (at least for today) that a military intervention (commonly called a Coup Mr. President)will directly affect the military aide that we sent to Egypt.

    On moment ... why are we sending military aide to Egypt? A country ruled by a devote Islamic socialists and the same answering to the Muslin Brotherhood - a group of terrorists living with 10th century ideas about ruling the world in Muslin everyday fashion.

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