The dust is settling on the US commando raid that killed Osama bin Laden. There is the question of whether to release the photos of the raid and Osama’s burial at sea, but this is a detail.
As the news of the action spread around the world, everyone’s attention turned instinctively to the future of terrorism. Many think it will continue and some believe that Al-Qaida will remain a strong terrorist threat.
I’m not so sure.
There are many reasons why Al-Qaida will experience organizational problems. There are factions inside Al-Qaida, and the new Number 2 is not accepted by everyone, often because he’s not really “Arab,” i.e., he’s not a Gulf Arab, and Gulf Arabs in Al-Qaida , like Osama, feel superior. And, on the other side, there are the Taliban and their supporters in the south Asia tier who feel culturally older and different than any of the Arabs, and who were Buddhist before being “converted” to Islam in the 8-10th centuries by invaders. There you have the seeds of a lot of bickering for position, to my thinking.
But, the most important question for me is - will Saudi Arabia permit and will Saudis want to continue to pay for all this, especially when Al-Qaida in Yemen is trying to topple them by destabilizing Bahrain ? If Osama’s personal wealth is removed, someone has to step up with funds.
Today, with the Arab Spring in full bloom, and with most of the Muslim world now feeling free to publicly reject Al-Qaida and its terrorist activities, it may not be easy to find sufficient funding.
Islam has been freed of its most important tormenter. It wasn’t America or Europe or anyone but Osama bin Laden who single-handedly destroyed the ties between the Muslim and Western worlds. It was he, alone, who frightened and angered Americans on 911. It was he who killed more Muslims than the Western forces hunting him down. Perhaps his death will lead to one very great good - the rebirth of brotherhood between Muslims and Christians. And that will be a serious drain on Al-Qaida’s capability to raise funds.
Nobody is talking about money yet, but it does make the terrorist world go round, doesn’t it?
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