Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Is It 2012 Already ?

The latest US polls show that almost anybody but the CEO of Ford Motors would be able to beat Barak Obama in 2012 if they were to run for president.
But, the clear leader is Hillary Clinton with a 60-40% margin over Obama in every age group and political leaning. Mrs. Clinton says she's not going to run in 2012 and will wait till 2016 to decide if another run at the presidency would make sense. But, she'll be well into her 60s by 2016 and my instincts tell me that if she's serious about a second try, it's 2012 or nothing.
The real problem is that the Democratic Party will have a sitting president on its hands, in the form of Obama, during the 2012 primary season. Sitting presidents are almost not touchable if they want to try for a second term. Should the Democrats force him out, thus alienating Blacks voters and the left of their party, or should they go with him, insuring a loss to almost any Republican who gets the GOP nomination.
That, my dear friends, is the dilemma. Watch the Democrat pro's squirm and try to wriggle out of the trap they're in. Watch the possible Democrat frontrunners who could beat Obama shower him with "kisses" while they work on arranging his exit.
And, don't forget the GOP in all this. They have to "run" against a broad range of possible 2012 Democratic candidates. So, they need to be moderate without losing the right wing and conservative without losing the moderate and liberal wings of the Republican Party.
It's going to be a feast for political creatures, like me.

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