Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Will Palin Run?

A South Carolina poll released yesterday shows that Perry is about 3% ahead of Romney with Republican voters who will "definitely" vote in the state's primary. Perry has 30% and Romney 27%, which is within the margin of error.
The next best was "undecided" with 11%. Herman Cain had 8%. The others - Bachman, Gingrich, Paul, Huntsman and Santorum are far behind. And, by the way, that reveals Bill Clinton's recent remark that Newt could make a comeback as just another of Bill's ideas to position Hillary against the weakest possible GOP opponent. 
Who was just behind the undecided South Carolina GOP voters in 4th place? Sarah Palin.
Last night on the Situation Room on CNN, James Carville, the political advisor to the Clintons and other Democratic politicos, said that he feels pretty sure that Palin will announce her candidacy. He's not sure when, but he is "almost" sure that she'll be a candidate.
That, dear readers, is what we call a game changer. Sarah Palin has money, connections deep in most GOP state committees, and a face and name that the Tea Party and other conservatives love. She would make life very difficult for Governor Perry, Michele Bachman and all of the above except Romney and Cain, who appeal to a broader GOP base, including moderates, as well as to independents.
So, we could be gearing up for a race to the Republican nomination that features Palin on one side, who would push out the already-announced conservative GOP wannabes, leaving Perry to battle it out with her for the Tea Party and conservative delegate vote, while Romney, plain vanilla though he may be, has the freedom to amass the rest of the convention delegates.
Cain may well be the king maker in this scenario, and my earlier idea that he would be a terrific choice for Vice President just might be right.

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