I don't know if New Jersey Governor Chris Christie will announce today that he is a candidate for the GOP 2012 presidential nomination.
The smart money in the media is saying he won't run. That makes a lot of sense for several reasons.
First, he has for so long said that he won't be a candidate that changing his mind now will be the first strike against him.
Second, he has little experience in politics outsideNew Jersey New Jersey may be making a turnaround that the rest of the USA would like to follow, but Trenton is not Washington
Third, Chris Christie is young and has the luxury of time on his side. He can wait for 2016 with the knowledge that at least Romney will probably not be in the 2016 GOP race, nor Cain nor Gingrich nor Paul. So, why would Christie roll the dice against a sitting President when he can wait until 2016 and have a much more open field to himself?
Finally, Governor Christie is, despite the alleged GOP financial pols’ urgings, not in a position to run at this late date. He has no national organization. His state-by-state organizations are weak or non-existent. His coffers are not yet full, and if he gets badly jostled when he actually has to answer the hard questions as a GOP presidential hopeful, he may seem weak and the money will stay in the pockets of those now clamoring for him to enter the race (Ask who? Perry.)
So, I don't expect any great announcement today, unless it is to endorse someone already in the race, or perhaps to call on Jeb Bush to get in and save the GOP's bacon. Because, dear readers, if Jeb could scoop up the nomination, Christie would be a terrific running mate and the 2016 and 2020 (Christie as Jeb’s follow-on) GOP teams would be assured.
But, then, politics is politics - and anything can happen. So, don't be too hard on me if I'm wrong.
The smart money in the media is saying he won't run. That makes a lot of sense for several reasons.
First, he has for so long said that he won't be a candidate that changing his mind now will be the first strike against him.
Second, he has little experience in politics outside
Third, Chris Christie is young and has the luxury of time on his side. He can wait for 2016 with the knowledge that at least Romney will probably not be in the 2016 GOP race, nor Cain nor Gingrich nor Paul. So, why would Christie roll the dice against a sitting President when he can wait until 2016 and have a much more open field to himself?
Finally, Governor Christie is, despite the alleged GOP financial pols’ urgings, not in a position to run at this late date. He has no national organization. His state-by-state organizations are weak or non-existent. His coffers are not yet full, and if he gets badly jostled when he actually has to answer the hard questions as a GOP presidential hopeful, he may seem weak and the money will stay in the pockets of those now clamoring for him to enter the race (Ask who? Perry.)
So, I don't expect any great announcement today, unless it is to endorse someone already in the race, or perhaps to call on Jeb Bush to get in and save the GOP's bacon. Because, dear readers, if Jeb could scoop up the nomination, Christie would be a terrific running mate and the 2016 and 2020 (Christie as Jeb’s follow-on) GOP teams would be assured.
But, then, politics is politics - and anything can happen. So, don't be too hard on me if I'm wrong.
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