Monday, April 6, 2015

Obama's Iran Nuclear Deal - the Real Question is 'What Deal'?

Since Thursday we have been bombarded by politicians and analysts giving their opinions about the Iran nuclear deal. Our response to all their rhetoric ought to be -- What Deal?? ~~~~~ American officials have admitted that they didn't inform the Iranians in advance of all the “parameters” President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry would make public in an effort to lock in progress made so far, and, more importantly, to strengthen the White House against any move by Congress to impose more sanctions against Iran. A senior Obama administration official, who spoke on condition of not being named, told reporters : "We talked to them [the Iranian delegation] and told them that we would have to say some things. We didn’t show them the paper. We didn’t show them the whole list." The official said it was "understood that we had different narratives, but we wouldn’t contradict each other." It seems that Obama and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif - even as they were telling the world a deal had been struck - were agreeing to disageee. ~~~~~ But, no sooner were the negotiations over on Thursday, than Zarif started his own "spin" on the deal with a Twitter post of a message that labelled the five-page set of American parameters as US "spin." On Iranian state television Saturday, Zarif continued that messsage, saying that Iran had formally complained to Secretary Kerry that the measures listed in the American statement were "in contradiction" to what had actually been accepted in Lausanne. He complained that the paper had been drawn up under Israeli and congressional pressure, and he restated Iran’s position that fast sanction relief had been required by Iran, including the need to "terminate," not just suspend, European Union sanctions. The Obama administration response? Another unnamed administration official said : "We fully expected them to emphasize things that are helpful in terms of selling this at home. We believe that everything in our document will not need to be renegotiated." So, Obama says he has a deal no matter what the Iranians say. ~~~~~ But with three months of negotiations over the drafting of the real Iranian nuclear deal still ahead, some experts wonder whether the lack of an agreed-upon, detailed public list of decisions taken in Lausanne may let the Iranians re-negotiate all key points, because of the critical differences in the US and Iranian versions of what was agreed to in Lausanne. ~~~~~ First, we heard the 291-word English statement from the European Union High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Federica Mogherini. This was followed by the "same" statement in Farsi by Zarif -- not simultaneously translated into English because there was according to Zarif no one present but himself who could do that, so the TV world audience should trust him. He then read the official Iranian text of 512 words. Another text issued by the French contained 231 words. The longest elaboration came from Kerry, whose text contained 1,318 words and created the impression that there was a done deal. But, the texts differ not only in length. They are often clearly contradictory about what was agreed. The Mogherini and French texts are so vague as to be meaningless. And, according to linguistics experts cited by the New York Times, the Zarif Farsi text carefully avoids words that might give the impression that anything has been agreed by the Iranian side or that Iran has offered any concessions. Further, the Iranian text is labelled as a press statement. The American text, however, is titled “Parameters for a Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action” and claims that key points have been "decided," with only "implementation details" remaining to be worked out. What are the key differences? ~~~~~ The Iranian text begins by insisting that it has absolutely no "legal aspect" and is intended only as "a guideline for drafting future accords." The American text claims that Iran has agreed to do certain things, for example reducing the number of centrifuges from 19,000 to 6,500. The Iranian text, however, says that Iran "shall be able to..." do such a thing as reduce the number of centrifuges. ~~~~~ The same is true about enrichment in Fordo. The American statement says that Iran has agreed to stop enrichment at Fordo for 15 years. The Iranian text, however, refers to this as something that Iran "will be able to do," if it so wished. ~~~~~ Sometimes the two texts are in clear disagreement. The American statement claims that Iran has agreed not to use advanced centrifuges, each of which could do the work of 10 old ones. The Iranian text, however, insists that "on the basis of solutions found, work on advanced centrifuges shall continue on the basis of a 10-year plan." ~~~~~ The American statement claims that Iran has agreed to dismantle the core of the heavy water plutonium plant in Arak. The Iranian text says the plant will remain and be updated and modernized. ~~~~~ Since Thursday, Kerry and Obama and their supporters have insisted that the Iranian nuclear project and its military-industrial components would be put under a kind of international supervision for 10, 15 or 25 years. However, the Farsi and French texts contain no such timelines. And, in fact, even in the Obama and Kerry statements, there is no mention of the former Iranian defense development of nuclear fissile materials in sites that Iran has never allowed to be inspected and is not obliged to do under this deal. ~~~~~ The US statement talks of sanctions "relief" while Iran says the sanctions would be "immediately terminated." The American text claims Teheran has agreed to take measures to reassure the international community on military aspects of its nuclear project, a vague reference to Iran’s development, with help from North Korea, of missiles designed to carry nuclear warheads. There is absolutely no word about that in the Iranian and other non-American texts. ~~~~~ In his aggressive celebration in the Rose Garden Thursday, Obama tried to sell Congress and all Americans a fake deal. He made three obviously wrong claims. First, Obama said that when he became President Iran had “thousands of centrifuges” which would now be cut down to around 6,000. In fact, in 2008, Iran had only 800 centrifuges. Iran speeded up its nuclear program after Obama became President. Second, Obama claimed that thanks to the scheme he is pushling "all of Iran’s paths" to developing a nuclear arsenal would be blocked. But, at the same time, he admitted that even if the deal is fully implemented, Iran would still be able to build a bomb in a year, presumably leap-frogging what Obama called “blocked paths.” Obama’s most egregious claim was that the only alternative to his attempt to surrender to the terrorist Iran regime would be US involvement in "another ground war in the Middle East." He ignored the fact that forcing Iran by means of diplomatic action, sanctions and pressures to abide by six UN resolutions could also be an alternative. ~~~~~ Dear readers, the Thursday and post-Lausanne statements by both Iran and the US also make no mention of restraining Iran's ballistic missile program aimed at Europe and the US, or the issue of Russia delivering S-300 missile defense systems to Iran, which remains a topic for bilateral discussions that have missed deadline after deadline. And, Israel, which has courageously rallied world opposition to the Obama Iran deal, has raised other critical but unaddressed issues that could have been, and may still be, forced from Iran in exchange for its release from crippling sanctions -- Iranian aggression in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Gaza and Lebanon; elimination of its ballistic missile capability and program; Iranian export of terror against Jews around the world; and Iran's continuing official goal of "anihillating Israel." Obama is playing a bizarre game that will endanger regional and world peace and threaten the national security of the US and its allies. He seems willing to say anything to prevent Congress from enacting stricter sanctions. He also obviously wants to humiliate Israel Prime Minister Netanyahu, whom he called within two hours to tell him of the Lausanne deal -- remember how it took two days for Obama to call Netanyahu after his election victory? From observing him for six years, we know that Obama is vindictive -- he goes to great lengths to settle scores with Republicans, make President GW Bush's Iraq policy seem wrong, defeat Netanyahu, oppose el-Sisi who overthrew and destroyed the Egyptian Moslem Brotherhood, abandon Saudi Arabia and America's other traditional sunni Middle East allies, and please his leftist progressive faction within the Democratic Party. His vindictiveness has led Barack Obama to take strategic risks with national security and international peace in the pursuit of personal and partisan gains. Obama's Iran nuclear deal is the biggest world threat he has ever created in the name of personal glorification.

8 comments:

  1. De Oppressor LiberApril 6, 2015 at 8:33 AM

    Obama seems determined to allow Iran and fellow Shiite countries to plunge a 'Coup de Etat' strike at the heart of Israel. Not by being on the sidelines (as usual) but with the full intent of revenge and siding with the wrong side in the Middle East once again.

    This is not error in judgement, or a Foreign Affairs blunder - but rather with well thought out and planned devious maneuvers.

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  2. We all know from experience that the first explanation on any subject from Obama and his inner circle is never, ever the honest answer. So it would be suspect to assume what Obama said in the Rose Garden at the White House to be any thing close to factual on the content and/or contents of this 'secret' agreement that determines the peace of the world, the safety of millions of Middle Easterners, and the welfare, and continuence of Israel.

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  3. BENGHAZI, BERGDAHL, and the BOMB all 3 have a common link - Obama went to the Rose Garden looked directly into the cameras and lied to the American public about each incident at great length. Claimed victory in the face of deception.

    Obama sees the world as he wants the world to be - not as it really is. Thus is so dangerous.

    The world is as it is. The good guys still wear white hats. And evil dressing black robes. It's not hard to tell the difference unless your color blind or firmly standing on the wrong side and can only see the white hats.

    I fully expect Obama to wear Muslim garb the next appearance he makes with a high ranking Shiite official.

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  4. Energy Secretary Moniz said this agreement with Iran is a forever agreement. It is "transparent". There are inspections that can't be circumvented by Iran.

    Mr. Secretary if it's so "transparent" why are you and President Obama to put it out on the table as is, and let everyone read it for themselves? Not being told what's in it like the ObamaCare/ACA Bill?

    We can Mr. Moniz read and judge for ourselves.

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    Replies
    1. Concerened CitizenApril 7, 2015 at 8:28 AM

      Stockbrokers are required to say that past performance is no guarantee of future results. With Iran, past performance IS such a guarantee.

      Delaying an inevitable military confrontation, rather than early intervention, allows the enemy to grow stronger with more loss of life and property when war comes. That is history’s lesson.

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  5. The mass graves of as many as 1,700 Iraqi soldiers have been found at Tikrit; the suspected massacre took place at the hands of the Islamic State last June. Government forensic teams have begun to excavate the gravesites following the city’s liberation from the militant group.

    If ISIS can murder 1700 soldiers, just imagine the jubilation of the radicle fundamentalist in the Middle East when they have access to nuclear weapons from their supply source - Iran.

    This "agreement" nearly guarantees that is soon to be reality.

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  6. If the West had walked away from negotiations, it’s unlikely that countries in the European Union would respond by increasing sanctions to force Iran to be more compliant. What’s more likely is that they’d blame the U.S., relax their sanctions, and get back in business with the regime instead. As far as many businesspeople in Europe, China and Russia see it, time and money are being wasted; and many of them don’t particularly care if Israel is under threat.

    The United States is being asked to foolishly believe promises by a regime that is religiously motivated to eliminate Israel and ultimately the United States, is the premier sponsor of terrorism in the world, has a record of breaking promises, including past promises about nuclear weapons, and still holds American prisoners, including a Christian minister, a Washington Post reporter, a former Marine and Robert Levinson, a retired DEA agent taken hostage in 2007.

    Did Secretary of State John Kerry demand they be released as part of the framework? There has been no reported discussion about any of these American prisoners. We don’t know because the deal that isn’t yet a deal has not been formalized and if an agreement is actually reached by the next deadline in June, we still might only know what they tell us, unless Congress holds hearings and asks the right questions. Shades of Rep. Nancy Pelosi’s line about the need to pass Obamacare to find out what’s in it.

    The other half of the credibility gap is President Obama. We are asked to believe a man who said, “If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor” and that his would be the most “open and transparent” administration in history, among many other obfuscations.

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  7. What ever the outcome of this 'secretive" deal is, it will not be ...THE DEAL AMERICA, ISRAEL, OR A FEW ARAB COUNTRIES WANT, DESERVE, OR CAN LIVE WITH.

    Now there is something between the Shiite's & Sunni's, aganist the welfare of Israel and all for the Shiite Iran painted Red, White & Blue that will deeply involve us in pure religious political ancient fighting.

    Anyone want to take a shot at how that will work out for us & Israel????

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