Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Italy and France Feel the Pinch of the Euro and the Cyprus Crisis

It is a Wednesday full of angst in Europe, as deeper economic crevises are appearing in several countries, and in the Euro itself, which dropped against the Dollar to its lowest level in four months, to 1.2771 Dollars to 1 Euro. Meanwhile, the growing investor fear over the Cyprus bank crisis is rapidly being replaced by fears for Italy, as political deadlock continues and the country's main candidate to form a government - something Italy hasn't had since the inconclusive January parliamentary elections - reportedly said that only an "insane person" would want to govern Italy now. Pier Luigi's Bersani, the leader of the center-left coalition, reportedly made the remark after the anti-establishment "Five Star Movement" party headed by comedian Beppe Grillo again refused to form a coalition government with Bersani, dashing his latest attempts to form a governing alliance. Bersani refuses to form a government with the conservative Berlusconi, but few options remain, and it is likely that on Thursday the Italian president will name a caretaker government and call for new elections.After the latest rejection from the anti- establishment movement, Bersani said "only an insane person would want to govern this country, which is in a mess and faces a difficult year ahead," Dow Jones reported. Italian bond sales paid the price on Wednesday, rising above 5% on longer than 5-year bonds. The Italian political stalemate plus the Cyprus crisis drove down the Euro as investors sought to place their money in a safe currency. One place investors will not be putting their money is Cyprus. Cyrpiots will only be allowed to withdraw 300 Euros ($383) in cash each day when the country's banks open for the first time in more than 10 days on Thursday, the state news agency says. Credit and debit cards for payments abroad will be capped at 5000 Euros per day. Checks will not be cashed but they can be deposited into accounts, but then, would anyone want to deposit a check in a Cypriot bank? Meanwhile, armed police officers guarded several trucks carrying containers, presumably full of Euros, arriving at the country's Central Bank in Nicosia. A helicopter hovered overhead. Banks have been shut across the country since March 16 to prevent a run on deposits while politicians worked out a new plan to secure an international bailout. And the bad news in Europe goes on - the French government announced today that for the first time in 30 years, the purchasing power of the French declined, by 0.4%. And since bad news often does not come alone, the French also heard that the unemployment figure, already near historic highs, had risen slightly. Even legislative and political leaders of President Hollande's own Socialist Party began today to express concerns publicly about the ability of Hollande to manage the economy in such a perilous time. Hollande's government has systematically cancelled the economy-bolstering programs put in place by President Sarkozy, many saying this was done simply because they were started by a Gaullist conservative president. In addition, Hollande has raised taxes by 10% and eliminated a Sarkozy program that allowed employees to work more than the French 35-hour per week maximum in order to earn more. Meanwhile French salaries are not rising. One might wonder if François Hollande will see out his 5-year term. And it is entirely probable that Pier Luigi Bersani is absolutely right in saying that "only an insane person would want to govern this country, which is in a mess and faces a difficult year ahead.". That political exaggeration may be prophetic - and it just might soon apply to France and to all of Europe.

5 comments:

  1. We hear none of this going on here in the US. we certainly do hear and understand, and sufferer the results of the lack of leadership or the lack of forth coming solutions to stop the bleeding.

    As bad as the 'numbers" are in the States ... the stagnate, if not truthfully rising unemployment numbers, with NO MENTION of any jobs creation ideas, the lack of any sizable numbers of daily investors in the stock markets, the continuing downward trend in the housing market, people so badly up-side-down in their mortgages that the banks are behind re-processioning homes by some 13 months from the norm, health Care cost are ballooning upwards by some 20-30%. And yet Casey Pops all you write about Europe makes one happy to be here almost.

    Where or what is the end game in this global mess. there are some European countries that are in essences de-facto bankrupt.

    The Roman catholic Church is fortunate that a leader has answered the call and will by all estimations start the ball rolling down the hill in an effort to save the Church both morally and financially.

    But who will save the rest of us ???

    ReplyDelete
  2. OK let's face it there is not another President Reagan coming around for a while. So let's review what he did: 1. Lower Business taxes so business has the liquidity to invest in it's own business or buy out of various other business

    2. Lower personal income tax levels so people have money to go out and buy things with there by driven business to produce more.

    3. With the extra monies that will come in in the form of "taxes" both corporate and personal ... pay off the deficit or at least start

    4. A balanced budget based on the year 2008.

    These 4 simple steps will create more tax monies flowing into State & federal coffers. It will create millions of jobs. It will provide all the monies needed for the governments of the world to operate. And people will live a better life through their own productivity and responsibility.

    Seems to easy tyo be true you are thinking. Well it may well be because politicians are all the same they spend more than they have to spend of your money. They promise too much and then put the promises into law so as to get re-elected. And the decaying cycle just keeps on turning.

    One more thing to do ... TERM LIMITS FOR ALL POLITICIANS OF 2 TERMS - PERIOD.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I agree with all three of you...I must be ill.

    ReplyDelete
  4. De Oppressor LiberMarch 28, 2013 at 7:43 AM

    "When the people fear the government there is tyranny. When the government fears the people, there is Liberty"

    Thomas Jefferson

    Maybe the fear factor needs to make a 180.

    All the entitlements, all the wasteful spending, all the over spending has lead to the medicine becoming the poison;

    ReplyDelete
  5. We should all find a copy of the Laffer Curve and send it to as many elected politicians around the world as possible.

    To locate it just go to Google and typr in Laffer Curve in the search box.



    ReplyDelete